Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Nick Begich III a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Begich III | 91% | -1070 | — |
| Bill Hill | 10% | +900 | ▲ 6 |
| Eric Hafner | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jim McDermott | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Gavin Solomon | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Matt Schultz | <1% | +199900 | — |
| John Williams | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Nick Begich III at 91%, about -1070 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.