Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round) Odds · Vote Percent - Bernadette Wilson
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 0% | — | — |
| At least 18% | 95% | -1900 | — |
| At least 20% | 95% | -1900 | — |
| At least 22% | 97% | -3233 | — |
| At least 24% | 94% | -1567 | — |
| At least 26% | 91% | -1011 | — |
| At least 28% | 66% | -194 | — |
| At least 30% | 22% | +355 | — |
| At least 32% | 3% | +3233 | — |
| At least 34% | 16% | +525 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bernadette Wilson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.