2028 Presidential race: exact outcome Odds · 2028
Kalshi traders give Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance a 13% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance | 13% | +669 | ▼ 4 |
| Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 1 |
| AOC defeats JD Vance | 6% | +1718 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance | 4% | +2400 | — |
| AOC defeats Marco Rubio | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats AOC | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats AOC | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats James Talarico | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance | 2% | +6567 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear | 1% | +9900 | — |
| James Talarico defeats JD Vance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico | 1% | +9900 | — |
| JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro | 1% | +9900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance at 13%, about +669 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 7, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.