2028 Presidential matchup Odds · 2028
Kalshi traders give Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio a 12% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio | 12% | +733 | ▼ 3 |
| Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance | 11% | +852 | ▲ 2 |
| Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance | 9% | +1005 | — |
| AOC v. JD Vance | 6% | +1450 | ▲ 1 |
| AOC v. Marco Rubio | 6% | +1702 | — |
| Jon Ossoff v. Ron DeSantis | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 3 |
| Kamala Harris v. JD Vance | 3% | +3025 | ▲ 1 |
| Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio | 3% | +3409 | — |
| Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio | 3% | +3536 | — |
| James Talarico v. JD Vance | 2% | +5961 | — |
| James Talarico v. Marco Rubio | 2% | +6352 | — |
| Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance | 1% | +7307 | — |
| Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio | 1% | +7307 | — |
| Gavin Newsom v. Ron DeSantis | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andy Beshear v. JD Vance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| AOC v. Ron DeSantis | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Mark Kelly v. JD Vance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Mark Kelly v. Ron DeSantis | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Josh Shapiro v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Kamala Harris v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Pete Buttigieg v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Andy Beshear v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| James Talarico v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Raphael Warnock v. JD Vance | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Raphael Warnock v. Marco Rubio | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Raphael Warnock v. Ron DeSantis | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Mark Kelly v. Marco Rubio | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio | <1% | +18082 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Presidential matchup?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio at 12%, about +733 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 7, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2028 Presidential matchup?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.