2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Kate Marshall a 99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Marshall | 99% | -8233 | ▲ 2 |
| Kathleen Taylor | 2% | +5782 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Kate Marshall at 99%, about -8233 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.