2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout Odds · in 2026
Kalshi traders give 120 to 124.99 million a 93% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 to 124.99 million | 93% | -1415 | ▼ 1 |
| 115 to 119.99 million | 7% | +1339 | ▼ 9 |
| 125 million and above | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 8 |
| 110 to 114.99 million | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Less than 90 million | <1% | +22122 | — |
| 90 to 94.99 million | <1% | +199900 | — |
| 95 to 99.99 million | <1% | +199900 | — |
| 100 to 104.99 million | <1% | +199900 | — |
| 105 to 109.99 million | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price 120 to 124.99 million at 93%, about -1415 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.