Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027 Odds · Feb 1, 2027
Kalshi traders give Glenn Jacobs a 41% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Jacobs | 41% | +147 | ▼ 12 |
| Tim Burchett | 31% | +228 | ▲ 33 |
| Damon Hininger | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 8 |
| Cameron Sexton | 8% | +1150 | ▲ 35 |
| Pete Hegseth | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 |
| Chuck Fleischmann | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Stuart McWhorter | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Andy Ogles | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Diana Harshbarger | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Bill Lee | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marsha Blackburn | <1% | +19900 | — |
| No one | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Marsha Blackburn officially holds the position of United States Senator from Tennessee, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Glenn Jacobs at 41%, about +147 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.