Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 Odds · Before 2027
Kalshi traders give Ciryl Gane a 67% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciryl Gane | 67% | -199 | ▼ 2 |
| Josh Hokit | 34% | +199 | ▲ 1 |
| Tom Aspinall | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Alexander Volkov | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Sergei Pavlovich | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Curtis Blaydes | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jailton Almeida | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Marcin Tybura | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jon Jones | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Alex Pereira | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Vacant | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Tom Aspinall is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Ciryl Gane at 67%, about -199 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.