When will Drake release a new album Odds · Drake
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 19, 2026 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Before Sep 26, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 16% | +525 | — |
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 10, 2026 | 10% | +900 | — |
| Before Oct 17, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 24, 2026 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 27% | +270 | — |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 13% | +669 | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 1 |
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On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on When will Drake release a new album?
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