When will Bitcoin have its next halving Odds · Next halving
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 2028 | 4% | +2281 | — |
| Before Apr 2028 | 44% | +127 | — |
| Before May 2028 | 76% | -308 | — |
| Before Jun 2028 | 94% | -1567 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Bitcoin halves before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jun 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.