Utah Democratic Senate nominee? (2028) Odds · Utah (D)
Kalshi traders give Erin Mendenhall a 65% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mendenhall | 65% | -186 | ▲ 65 |
| Caroline Gleich | 63% | -170 | ▲ 57 |
| Ben McAdams | 32% | +212 | ▲ 24 |
| Jenny Wilson | 9% | +1063 | ▲ 6 |
| Jay Yahne | 0% | — | — |
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Resolution rules
If Jay Yahne wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Utah Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Utah Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Erin Mendenhall at 65%, about -186 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jun 28, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Utah Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.