Tainan mayoral election winner Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Chen Ting-fei a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chen Ting-fei | 94% | -1567 | ▼ 2 |
| Hsieh Lung-chieh | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 4 |
| Hsiao Lin-hung | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Yeh Jen-wen | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Chen Ting-fei wins the 2026 Tainan mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Tainan mayoral election winner?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Chen Ting-fei at 94%, about -1567 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 28, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Tainan mayoral election winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.