S&P close price end of 2026 Odds · On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST
Kalshi traders give 7,600 to 7,799.99 a 18% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,600 to 7,799.99 | 18% | +456 | — |
| 7,800 to 7,999.99 | 15% | +590 | ▲ 1 |
| 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 14% | +641 | ▼ 2 |
| 7,200 to 7,399.99 | 11% | +852 | ▼ 2 |
| 7,000 to 7,199.99 | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 1 |
| 8,000 to 8,199.99 | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 3 |
| 6,800 to 6,999.99 | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 1 |
| 8,200 to 8,399.99 | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 1 |
| 6,600 to 6,799.99 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| 6,200 to 6,399.99 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| 6,400 to 6,599.99 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| 5,800 to 5,999.99 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 6,000 to 6,199.99 | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| 3,999.99 or below | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 4,000 to 4,199.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 4,200 to 4,399.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 4,400 to 4,599.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 4,600 to 4,799.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 4,800 to 4,999.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 5,000 to 5,199.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 5,200 to 5,399.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 5,400 to 5,599.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 5,600 to 5,799.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 8,400 to 8,599.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 8,600 to 8,799.99 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 8,800 to 9,000 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 9,000.01 or above | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in S&P close price end of 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price 7,600 to 7,799.99 at 18%, about +456 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on S&P close price end of 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.