Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028) Odds · Pennsylvania (R)
Kalshi traders give Brian Fitzpatrick a 34% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzpatrick | 34% | +199 | ▲ 10 |
| Dan Meuser | 18% | +456 | ▲ 7 |
| John Fetterman | 18% | +471 | ▼ 2 |
| Dave Sunday | 6% | +1639 | ▼ 1 |
| Rob Bresnahan | 5% | +1861 | — |
| Scott Perry | 5% | +2028 | — |
| Stacy Garrity | <1% | +22122 | ▼ 2 |
| Guy Reschenthaler | <1% | +22122 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Stacy Garrity wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Brian Fitzpatrick at 34%, about +199 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Apr 26, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.