Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Odds · Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan (Nov 8)
Kalshi traders give Alan Magadan a 59% chance (Polymarket: 43%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Magadan | 59% | -144 | ▲ 59 | 43% |
| Nicolas Barrientos | 41% | +144 | ▲ 42 | 43% |
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On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Nicolas Barrientos wins the Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lima Semi Finals after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan?
As of Nov 8, 8:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Alan Magadan at 59%, about -144 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 43%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.