AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 29Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 54% ▲ 27Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.2… 50% ▲ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 67% ▲ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.5… 23% ▼ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 63% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 20Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 30% ▲ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 172026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 23% ▲ 16Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 42% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 29Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 54% ▲ 27Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.2… 50% ▲ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 67% ▲ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.5… 23% ▼ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 63% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 20Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 30% ▲ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 172026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 23% ▲ 16Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 42% ▲ 16

Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Odds

Polymarket Volume $2.1K 24h $2.2K Liquidity $15.0K Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 8:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan
43% +135 — 59%
Completed Match
52% -106 — —
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Set 1 Winner
44% +130 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Set 2 Winner
50% -100 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Total Sets: O/U 2.5
35% +186 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 21.5
48% +111 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 22.5
47% +115 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Match O/U 23.5
47% +115 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Set Handicap +/-1.5
27% +270 — 59%
Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan Set Handicap +/-1.5
39% +156 — 59%

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On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan · Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan (Nov 8)
Alan Magadan59% ▲ 59
Nicolas Barrientos41% ▲ 42
Kalshi $822 24h · $822 vol

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Barrientos and Alan Magadan in the Lima, Peru, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Barrientos' if Nicolas Barrientos advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Nicolas Barrientos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.