Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski Odds · Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski (Nov 8)
Kalshi traders give Luca Nardi a 85% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Nardi | 85% | -545 | ▲ 85 |
| Alexander Donski | 15% | +567 | ▲ 16 |
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Resolution rules
If Luca Nardi wins the Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Orleans Semi Finals after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski?
As of Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Luca Nardi at 85%, about -545 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.