Kansas Senate loser concedes by... Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | -99900 | ▲ 50 |
| No | <1% | +99900 | ▼ 50 |
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between Adam Hamilton and Roger Marshall, the candidate who does not win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate general election concedes that election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate general election, will not be the next U.S. Senator from Kansas, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the relevant candidate begins speaking within this market's timeframe will qualify, even if the declaration of concession falls outside this market's timeframe. If neither of the listed candidates wins the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate general election, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both listed candidates make a concession as described above. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations (e.g., if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone) will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Kansas Senate loser concedes by..."?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at >99%, about -99900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 5, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Kansas Senate loser concedes by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.