M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley vs Thiago Horacio Messa Odds
Polymarket traders give Thiago Horacio Messa a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Thiago Horacio Messa | 95% | -1718 | — |
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Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley and Thiago Horacio Messa in the M25 Santa Cruz do Sul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley' if John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley advances against Thiago Horacio Messa. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley vs Thiago Horacio Messa?
As of Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Thiago Horacio Messa at 95%, about -1718 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: John Paul Baroni Schtz Tankersley vs Thiago Horacio Messa?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.