Illinois Democratic Senate nominee? (2028) Odds · Illinois (D)
Kalshi traders give Tammy Duckworth a 73% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tammy Duckworth | 73% | -270 | ▼ 15 |
| Alexi Giannoulias | 6% | +1624 | ▲ 6 |
| Raja Krishnamoorthi | 0% | — | — |
| Robin Kelly | 0% | — | — |
| Lauren Underwood | 0% | — | — |
| Sean Casten | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Tammy Duckworth wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Illinois Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Tammy Duckworth at 73%, about -270 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 22, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Illinois Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.