Idaho Republican Senate nominee? (2028) Odds · Idaho (R)
Kalshi traders give Mike Crapo a 58% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Crapo | 58% | -138 | ▼ 11 |
| Raul Labrador | 0% | — | — |
| Brad Little | 0% | — | — |
| Russ Fulcher | 0% | — | — |
| Mike Simpson | 0% | — | — |
| Scott Bedke | 0% | — | — |
| Phil McGrane | 0% | — | — |
| Janice McGeachin | 0% | — | — |
| Mark Fitzpatrick | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Mike Crapo wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Idaho Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Idaho Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Mike Crapo at 58%, about -138 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists May 17, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Idaho Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.