How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win Odds
Polymarket traders give 8 a 23% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 23% | +335 | ▲ 2 |
| ≥12 | 19% | +441 | ▲ 3 |
| 9 | 17% | +506 | ▼ 2 |
| 10 | 15% | +567 | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | 14% | +641 | ▲ 1 |
| 11 | 13% | +700 | ▼ 1 |
| ≤5 | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | <1% | +14186 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Magistrate elections for Taiwan’s special municipalities, counties, and cities won by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County If the results of the 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 8 at 23%, about +335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 29, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.