Florida Republican Senate nominee? (2028) Odds · Florida (R)
Kalshi traders give Ashley Moody a 74% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody | 74% | -285 | ▼ 11 |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | — | — |
| Jay Collins | 0% | — | — |
| Casey DeSantis | 0% | — | — |
| James Uthmeier | 0% | — | — |
| Lara Trump | 0% | — | — |
| Dan Bongino | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Ashley Moody wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Florida Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Ashley Moody at 74%, about -285 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Aug 23, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Florida Republican Senate nominee? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.