"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026) Odds · All I Want for Christmas Is You | Dec 5, 2026
Kalshi traders give Rank 1 to 2 a 70% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 1 to 2 | 70% | -233 | ▼ 9 |
| Rank 3 to 4 | 26% | +292 | ▲ 3 |
| Rank 5 to 6 | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 |
| Rank 7 to 10 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Rank 11 to 15 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rank 21 to 30 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rank 31 to 40 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rank 41 to 50 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rank 75 to 100 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rank 16 to 20 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Rank 51 to 74 | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If "All I Want for Christmas Is You" by Mariah Carey ranks between No. 1 and No. 2, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Dec 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in "All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026)?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Rank 1 to 2 at 70%, about -233 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 5, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on "All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.