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Will Jack Doherty post again on X by... Odds

Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 86% chance.

Polymarket Volume $13.8K 24h $0 Liquidity $5.4K Ends May 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Yes
86% -602 —
No
14% +602 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Oct 31
April 30

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jack Doherty posts again on X between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, quote post, or reply. The resolution source for this market is Jack Doherty's official X profile: https://x.com/dohertyjackk, including any successor names for the account. Posts from any other account will not qualify.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

What are the odds of "Will Jack Doherty post again on X by..."?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 86%, about -602 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists May 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.