Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 88% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | +700 | — |
| No | 88% | -700 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027"?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 88%, about -700 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.