AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

Who will release a new album in 2026 Odds · 2026

Kalshi Volume $151K 24h $91 Ends Jan 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Polymarket
Taylor Swift ✓
98% -4900 — 16%
Bad Bunny
22% +355 — 19%
The Weeknd
13% +669 — —
Justin Bieber
16% +525 ▼ 7 14%
Ed Sheeran
13% +669 — —
Travis Scott
31% +223 — 14%
Eminem
14% +641 — 10%
Rihanna
9% +1076 — 5%
Billie Eilish
3% +3233 — 4%
Kendrick Lamar
9% +1011 — 7%
Post Malone
39% +156 ▼ 10 —
Ozuna
39% +156 — —
Coldplay
26% +285 — —
Nicki Minaj
39% +156 — —
Dua Lipa
3% +3900 — —
Lana Del Rey
8% +1150 ▼ 10 14%
Lil Wayne
21% +388 — —
21 Savage
4% +2400 — —
Rauw Alejandro
45% +122 — —
Anuel AA
95% -1900 — —
SZA
4% +2400 — —
Khalid
2% +4900 — —
Lil Baby
>99% -19900 — —
Maroon 5
7% +1329 — —
Beyoncé ✓
55% -122 — 3%
Calvin Harris
28% +257 — —
Morgan Wallen
60% -150 — —
Sia
4% +2400 — —
Young Thug ✓
94% -1567 — —
Linkin Park
12% +770 — —
Doja Cat
4% +2757 — —
Shawn Mendes
15% +567 — —
Quavo ✓
98% -4900 — —
Frank Ocean
35% +190 ▼ 1 34%
USHER
8% +1233 — —
Justin Timberlake
3% +3233 — —
Kali Uchis
34% +194 ▼ 63 —
Daft Punk
11% +809 — —
Tate McRae
14% +614 — —
Big Sean
29% +245 — —

Showing the top 40 of 80 outcomes.

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On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
The Weekend32% ▲ 2
Lil Uzi Vert28%
Peso Pluma17%
Playboi Carti16% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $294K vol

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

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Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

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