Which artists will release new albums in 2026 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Weekend | 32% | +217 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 28% | +251 | — | — |
| Peso Pluma | 17% | +488 | — | — |
| Playboi Carti | 16% | +545 | ▼ 1 | 15% |
| Justin Bieber | 13% | +669 | ▼ 12 | 16% |
| Frank Ocean | 34% | +194 | ▲ 5 | 35% |
| Lana Del Rey | 15% | +567 | ▼ 2 | 8% |
| Kendrick Lamar | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 2 | 9% |
| Rihanna | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 7 | 9% |
| Eminem | 10% | +953 | ▼ 1 | 14% |
| Jay Z | 17% | +488 | ▲ 1 | 19% |
| Travis Scott | 14% | +590 | ▼ 1 | 31% |
| Beyoncé | 3% | +3746 | ▼ 1 | 55% |
| Billie Eilish | 3% | +3409 | ▼ 1 | 3% |
| Bad Bunny | 19% | +426 | ▼ 3 | 22% |
| Taylor Swift | 16% | +545 | ▼ 6 | 98% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 9% | +1076 | — | 9% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 2, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.