Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN Odds
Polymarket traders give Rafael Grossi a 37% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Grossi | 37% | +174 | ▲ 3 |
| Bruno Donat | 33% | +200 | — |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 29% | +246 | ▲ 3 |
| Kristalina Georgieva | 25% | +293 | — |
| Alicia Bárcena | 25% | +294 | — |
| Amina Mohammed | 13% | +643 | ▼ 2 |
| Mia Mottley | 8% | +1083 | — |
| Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 7% | +1360 | ▼ 15 |
| Jacinda Ardern | 5% | +1983 | ▲ 1 |
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Achim Steiner | 2% | +5456 | ▼ 14 |
| Michelle Bachelet | 1% | +6797 | — |
| Vuk Jeremić | <1% | +66567 | — |
| David Choquehuanca | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Rafael Grossi at 37%, about +174 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.