Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan | 23% | +344 | ▲ 1 |
| Rwanda | 14% | +641 | ▼ 1 |
| Burundi | 18% | +471 | ▼ 1 |
| United States | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 1 |
| Canada | 7% | +1329 | — |
| India | 13% | +700 | ▲ 1 |
| Republic of the Congo | 22% | +355 | — |
| Ethiopia | 19% | +426 | ▼ 23 |
| Somalia | 16% | +525 | ▼ 4 |
| China | 6% | +1702 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
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