Where will it rain on November 8 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles, CA | 2% | +4778 | — |
| Houston, TX | 50% | -100 | — |
| Dallas, TX | 50% | -100 | — |
| Phoenix, AZ | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Philadelphia, PA | 12% | +766 | — |
| Washington, DC | 46% | +120 | — |
| Atlanta, GA | 50% | -100 | — |
| Miami, FL | 50% | -100 | — |
| New Orleans, LA | 50% | -100 | — |
| San Francisco, CA | 50% | -100 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on November 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches, and this market will resolve to "No". If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Where will it rain on November 8?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.