AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 22% ▼ 28Who will receive the second mandate to form … 67% ▲ 27Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 24Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 42% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 76% ▲ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 74% ▲ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 22% ▼ 28Who will receive the second mandate to form … 67% ▲ 27Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 24Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 42% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 76% ▲ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 74% ▲ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

Where will it rain on Nov 6, 2026 Odds · On Nov 6, 2026

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $384K Ended Nov 8, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
New York City
99% -9900 —
Chicago
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Austin
1% +9900 —
Miami
1% +9900 ▼ 6
Denver
1% +9900 —
Philadelphia
99% -9900 —
Los Angeles
1% +9900 —
Las Vegas
1% +9900 —
New Orleans
1% +9900 —
San Francisco
1% +9900 —
Washington DC
99% -9900 —
Seattle
99% -9900 ▲ 2
Boston
99% -9900 —
Atlanta
1% +9900 —
Minneapolis
1% +9900 —
Dallas
1% +9900 ▼ 1
San Antonio
1% +9900 —
Houston
1% +9900 —
Oklahoma City
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Newark
99% -9900 —
Trenton
99% -9900 —
Detroit
99% -9900 —
Milwaukee
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Lexington
1% +9900 ▼ 4
Columbus
99% -9900 ▲ 83
Providence
99% -9900 —
College Station
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Pittsburgh
99% -9900 ▲ 52
Albuquerque
99% -9900 ▲ 72
Springfield
1% +9900 ▼ 17
Indianapolis
99% -9900 ▲ 65
St. Louis
1% +9900 ▼ 4
Tampa
1% +9900 ▼ 4
West Palm Beach
1% +9900 ▼ 4

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 5 Nov 7
New York City

Resolution rules

If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City in Nov 6, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Where will it rain on Nov 6, 2026?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.