AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

Titled Tuesday Top 8: November 10 Odds

Polymarket Volume $700 24h $700 Liquidity $8.3K Ends Nov 25, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Magnus Carlsen
3% +3900 ▼ 2
Hikaru Nakamura
55% -122 —
Arjun Erigaisi
50% -100 ▲ 1
Denis Lazavik
50% -100 ▲ 1
Sina Movahed
37% +174 ▼ 14
Aravindh Chithambaram
50% -100 ▲ 1
Andrey Esipenko
47% +113 ▼ 2
Alireza Firouzja
50% -100 ▲ 1
Alexander Grischuk
50% -100 ▲ 1
Aleksandar Indjic
50% -100 ▲ 44
Aleksei Sarana
55% -122 ▲ 4
Aleksandr Shimanov
50% -100 ▲ 1
Benjamin Bok
50% -100 ▲ 1
Bardiya Daneshvar
50% -100 ▲ 1
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
50% -100 ▲ 1
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
50% -100 ▲ 1
Dmitry Andreikin
61% -153 ▲ 12
David Anton
50% -100 ▲ 1
Dau Khuong Duy
50% -100 ▲ 45
Dincer Tasdogen
50% -100 ▲ 1
Fabiano Caruana
50% -100 ▲ 1
Faustino Oro
50% -100 ▲ 1
Frederik Svane
8% +1233 ▼ 44
Haik Martirosyan
50% -100 ▲ 1
Hans Niemann
50% -100 ▲ 1
Haowen Xue
50% -100 ▲ 1
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5% +2122 ▼ 0
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
4% +2400 ▼ 0
Jose Martinez
50% -100 ▲ 1
Jules Moussard
50% -100 ▲ 1
Javokhir Sindarov
50% -100 ▲ 1
Jeffery Xiong
18% +456 ▼ 31
Levon Aronian
50% -100 ▲ 46
Le Tuan Minh
50% -100 ▲ 1
Matthias Bluebaum
15% +567 ▼ 34
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
50% -100 ▲ 1
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
50% -100 ▲ 1
Nihal Sarin
18% +471 ▼ 34
Nikolas Theodorou
7% +1329 ▼ 42
Oleksandr Bortnyk
50% -100 ▲ 1

Showing the top 40 of 66 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 8 Nov 8
Magnus Carlsen

On Kalshi

A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Titled Tuesday Top 8 Finishers: Nov 10 · Top 8 (Nov 10, 2026)
Hikaru Nakamura57% ▼ 5
Magnus Carlsen2% ▲ 3
Akshay Borgaonkar3% —
Alan Pichot3% —
Kalshi $519 24h · $608 vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on November 10, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 25, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Titled Tuesday Top 8: November 10?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.