AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Titled Tuesday Top 8 Finishers: Nov 10 Odds · Top 8 (Nov 10, 2026)

Kalshi Volume $624 24h $535 Ends Nov 11, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Hikaru Nakamura
59% -141 ▼ 5
Magnus Carlsen
3% +3900 ▲ 3
Akshay Borgaonkar
3% +2757 —
Alan Pichot
3% +3233 —
Aleksandar Indjic
5% +2122 —
Aleksandr Shimanov
6% +1718 —
Aleksandr Usov
7% +1438 —
Aleksei Sarana
34% +199 —
Alexander Grischuk
18% +456 ▲ 19
Alireza Firouzja
5% +2122 ▲ 9
Andrey Esipenko
5% +1900 —
Andy Woodward
24% +317 ▼ 2
Aram Hakobyan
4% +2757 —
Aravindh Chithambaram
9% +1076 ▲ 8
Arjun Erigaisi
6% +1567 ▲ 5
Artem Avanesian
3% +3233 —
Artin Ashraf
10% +953 —
Awonder Liang
5% +1900 —
Bardiya Daneshvar
5% +1900 —
Benjamin Bok
5% +2122 —
Bharath Subramaniyam
4% +2400 —
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
10% +900 ▲ 10
Christopher Woojin Yoo
18% +456 ▲ 19
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
3% +3233 —
Daniil Dubov
5% +1900 —
Dau Khuong Duy
3% +3233 —
David Anton
7% +1438 —
David Paravyan
12% +733 ▲ 12
Denis Lazavik
32% +208 —
Dincer Tasdogen
5% +1900 —
Dmitrij Kollars
8% +1150 —
Dmitry Andreikin
38% +167 —
Eduardo Iturrizaga Bonelli
3% +3233 —
Emin Ohanyan
3% +3233 —
Eray Kilic
3% +3233 —
Erdem Khubukshanov
3% +3233 —
Eric Hansen
3% +3233 —
Fabiano Caruana
6% +1567 ▲ 8
Faustino Oro
6% +1718 —
Felix Ilinca
5% +2122 —

Showing the top 40 of 101 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 8 Nov 8
Hikaru Nakamura

On Polymarket

A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Titled Tuesday Top 8: November 10
Magnus Carlsen3% ▼ 2
Hikaru Nakamura55% ▼ 0
Arjun Erigaisi50% ▲ 1
Denis Lazavik50% ▲ 1
Polymarket $700 24h · $700 vol

Resolution rules

If Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 8 in the Titled Tuesday chess competition, originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Titled Tuesday Top 8 Finishers: Nov 10?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.