AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 29Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 54% ▲ 27Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.2… 50% ▲ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 67% ▲ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.5… 23% ▼ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 63% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 20Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 30% ▲ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 172026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 23% ▲ 16Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 42% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 29Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 54% ▲ 27Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.2… 50% ▲ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 67% ▲ 23What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: $1.5… 23% ▼ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 22Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 63% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 20Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 30% ▲ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 172026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 23% ▲ 16Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 42% ▲ 16

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds · Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Nov 8)

Kalshi traders give Thiago Seyboth Wild a 54% chance (Polymarket: 54%).

Kalshi Volume $513 24h $513 Ends Nov 8, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 8:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Polymarket
Thiago Seyboth Wild
54% -117 ▲ 55 54%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
46% +117 ▲ 47 54%

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On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli54%
Completed Match53%
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner55%
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner50%
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $638 vol

Resolution rules

If Thiago Seyboth Wild wins the Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

As of Nov 8, 8:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Thiago Seyboth Wild at 54%, about -117 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 54%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.