The Game Awards: Game of the Year Odds · Game of the Year | 2026
Kalshi traders give Grand Theft Auto VI a 87% chance (Polymarket: 87%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI | 87% | -641 | ▲ 1 | 87% |
| Resident Evil Requiem | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 2 | 7% |
| Crimson Desert | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 1 | 2% |
| Phantom Blade Zero | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 1 | 4% |
| Control Resonant | 2% | +6567 | — | <1% |
| The Duskbloods | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Fable | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Marvel's Wolverine | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Saros | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Slay the Spire 2 | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Half-Life 3 | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Cairn | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Pragmata | <1% | +19900 | — | 1% |
| Marathon | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Tie | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Stranger Than Heaven | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Esoteric Ebb | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Big Walk | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Forza Horizon 6 | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| 007 First Light | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Mina the Hollower | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Gears of War: E-Day | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Mewgenics | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Grand Theft Auto VI has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in The Game Awards: Game of the Year?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Grand Theft Auto VI at 87%, about -641 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 87%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on The Game Awards: Game of the Year?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.