The Game Awards: Game of the Year Odds
Polymarket traders give Grand Theft Auto VI a 87% chance (Kalshi: 87%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI | 87% | -641 | ▲ 1 | 87% |
| Resident Evil Requiem | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 1 | 6% |
| Phantom Blade Zero | 4% | +2717 | — | 3% |
| Crimson Desert | 2% | +5305 | — | 4% |
| Pragmata | 1% | +9424 | — | <1% |
| Control Resonant | <1% | +12400 | — | 2% |
| 007 First Light | <1% | +28471 | — | <1% |
| Marvel's Wolverine | <1% | +39900 | — | <1% |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | <1% | +39900 | — | <1% |
| Saros | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| The Duskbloods | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Slay the Spire 2 | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Half-Life 3 | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Fable | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Marathon | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Esoteric Ebb | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Stranger Than Heaven | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Cairn | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Nioh 3 | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Forza Horizon 6 | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Mouse: P.I. For Hire | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Gears of War: E-Day | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Reanimal | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Exodus | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in The Game Awards: Game of the Year?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Grand Theft Auto VI at 87%, about -641 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 87%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on The Game Awards: Game of the Year?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.