Precipitation in Hong Kong in November Odds
Polymarket traders give 60-95mm a 25% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60-95mm | 25% | +308 | ▼ 11 |
| 25-35mm | 23% | +344 | ▼ 4 |
| 10-25mm | 21% | +388 | ▲ 13 |
| 35-60mm | 17% | +488 | ▲ 1 |
| 95mm+ | 17% | +488 | ▼ 11 |
| 5-10mm | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 1 |
| <5mm | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 60-95mm at 25%, about +308 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.