AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player Odds

Polymarket traders give Ty Jerome a 40% chance (Kalshi: 35%).

Polymarket Volume $14.6K 24h $239 Liquidity $15.0K Ends Jul 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Ty Jerome
40% +153 ▼ 7 35%
Jaden McDaniels
23% +338 ▲ 19 1%
Toumani Camara
21% +375 ▲ 19 <1%
Davion Mitchell
21% +380 ▼ 15 7%
Zach Edey
19% +418 ▲ 15 3%
Stephon Castle
19% +439 ▲ 14 1%
VJ Edgecombe
16% +508 ▲ 13 1%
Amen Thompson
15% +547 ▼ 9 3%
Kon Knueppel
15% +587 ▲ 10 1%
Alex Sarr
14% +590 ▲ 10 1%
Peyton Watson
14% +594 ▼ 23 1%
Keegan Murray
14% +599 ▲ 10 <1%
Pelle Larsson
14% +609 ▲ 8 1%
Ryan Rollins
14% +609 ▲ 10 <1%
Ajay Mitchell
13% +655 — 20%
Khaman Maluach
11% +801 — <1%
Dylan Harper
8% +1105 ▼ 1 2%
Naz Reid
5% +1769 — <1%
Cason Wallace
5% +1787 — <1%
Cedric Coward
5% +1823 — <1%
Ayo Dosunmu
5% +1880 — 1%
Brandon Miller
5% +1900 — 3%
Walker Kessler
5% +2051 ▼ 1 3%
Matas Buzelis
5% +2074 — <1%
Ausar Thompson
4% +2226 — 2%
Ousmane Dieng
4% +2400 — <1%
Kel'el Ware
4% +2497 — 1%
Aaron Wiggins
4% +2497 — 2%
Derik Queen
3% +2799 — <1%
Egor Demin
3% +2885 — —
Jabari Smith Jr.
3% +2930 — 2%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
3% +2930 — <1%
Jalen Duren
3% +3179 ▼ 37 <1%
Jonathan Kuminga
3% +3233 ▼ 1 1%
Paul Reed
3% +3233 — <1%
Terrence Shannon Jr.
3% +3290 ▼ 34 1%
Collin Murray-Boyles
3% +3290 ▼ 1 <1%
Payton Pritchard
3% +3290 — 1%
Deni Avdija
3% +3604 ▼ 2 <1%
Jalen Johnson
3% +3674 — 1%

Showing the top 40 of 45 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 19 Nov 7
Ty JeromeJaden McDanielsToumani CamaraDavion Mitchell

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Pro Basketball Most Improved Player Winner · 2026-27 season
Ty Jerome35% ▼ 3
Ajay Mitchell20% ▲ 1
Davion Mitchell7% ▲ 14
Kyshawn George5% —
Kalshi $105 24h · $8.5K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Improved Player award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the NBA names more than one winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If no winner of the award is announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026-27 NBA season, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Ty Jerome at 40%, about +153 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 35%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.