AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Pro Basketball Most Improved Player Winner Odds · 2026-27 season

Kalshi traders give Ty Jerome a 35% chance (Polymarket: 40%).

Kalshi Volume $8.7K 24h $107 Ends Jul 31, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Polymarket
Ty Jerome
35% +186 ▼ 3 40%
Ajay Mitchell
20% +413 ▲ 1 13%
Davion Mitchell
6% +1567 ▲ 14 21%
Dylan Harper
5% +1900 ▼ 1 8%
Kyshawn George
5% +2122 — —
Walker Kessler
3% +3233 ▲ 1 5%
Brandon Miller
3% +3900 ▲ 2 5%
Zach Edey
3% +3900 — 19%
Amen Thompson
3% +3900 — 15%
Ausar Thompson
2% +6567 — 4%
Jabari Smith Jr.
2% +6567 — 3%
Anthony Black
2% +6567 — —
Payton Pritchard
1% +9900 — 3%
Kel'el Ware
1% +9900 — 4%
Peyton Watson
1% +9900 — 14%
Stephon Castle
1% +9900 — 19%
Jaden McDaniels
1% +9900 — 23%
Ayo Dosunmu
1% +9900 — 5%
Egor Dëmin
1% +9900 — —
Terrence Shannon Jr.
1% +9900 — 3%
Aaron Wiggins
1% +9900 — 4%
Kon Knueppel
1% +9900 — 15%
Pelle Larsson
1% +9900 — 14%
Scoot Henderson
1% +9900 ▼ 10 3%
Alex Sarr
1% +9900 — 14%
VJ Edgecombe
1% +9900 — 16%
Jonathan Kuminga
1% +9900 ▲ 1 3%
Joan Beringer
1% +9900 — <1%
Jalen Johnson
1% +9900 — 3%
Leonard Miller
1% +9900 — —
Collin Murray-Boyles
<1% +19900 — 3%
Naz Reid
<1% +19900 ▼ 5 5%
Coby White
<1% +19900 — <1%
Matas Buzelis
<1% +19900 — 5%
Paul Reed
<1% +19900 — 3%
Keegan Murray
<1% +19900 — 14%
Donovan Clingan
<1% +19900 — <1%
Reed Sheppard
<1% +19900 — 3%
Ryan Rollins
<1% +19900 — 14%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
<1% +19900 — 3%

Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 22 Nov 8
Ty JeromeAjay MitchellDavion MitchellDylan Harper

On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player
Ty Jerome40% ▼ 7
Jaden McDaniels23% ▲ 19
Toumani Camara21% ▲ 19
Davion Mitchell21% ▼ 15
Polymarket $239 24h · $14.6K vol

Resolution rules

If Brandon Miller wins the Pro Basketball Most Improved Player award in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Pro Basketball Most Improved Player Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Ty Jerome at 35%, about +186 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 40%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jul 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Basketball Most Improved Player Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.