MLS Cup Winner 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Nashville SC a 27% chance (Kalshi: 31%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 27% | +274 | ▲ 1 | 31% |
| Inter Miami CF | 18% | +471 | ▲ 1 | 18% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 15% | +560 | — | 16% |
| St. Louis City SC | 6% | +1500 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Philadelphia Union | 6% | +1595 | — | 7% |
| FC Dallas | 6% | +1702 | ▼ 1 | 6% |
| Los Angeles FC | 5% | +2098 | — | 5% |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5% | +2122 | — | 5% |
| New England Revolution | 4% | +2310 | ▼ 1 | 5% |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 3% | +3674 | — | 4% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3% | +3674 | — | 3% |
| Charlotte FC | 2% | +4778 | ▼ 1 | 3% |
| Portland Timbers | 1% | +7307 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| FC Cincinnati | 1% | +8233 | — | 2% |
| Columbus Crew | 1% | +9424 | ▲ 1 | 2% |
| Orlando City SC | <1% | +11665 | — | 1% |
| Seattle Sounders FC | <1% | +15285 | — | 2% |
| Real Salt Lake | <1% | +28471 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in MLS Cup Winner 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Nashville SC at 27%, about +274 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 31%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on MLS Cup Winner 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.