MLS Cup Champion Odds · 2026 Season
Kalshi traders give Nashville a 31% chance (Polymarket: 27%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville | 31% | +228 | ▲ 3 | 27% |
| Miami | 18% | +471 | ▼ 2 | 18% |
| Vancouver | 16% | +545 | ▼ 2 | 15% |
| Philadelphia | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 3 | 6% |
| Saint Louis | 7% | +1438 | — | — |
| Dallas | 6% | +1718 | — | 6% |
| Chicago | 5% | +2122 | — | 5% |
| Los Angeles F | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 1 | 5% |
| New England | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 | 4% |
| Houston | 4% | +2757 | — | 3% |
| Charlotte | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 | 2% |
| San Jose | 3% | +3900 | — | 3% |
| Columbus | 2% | +6567 | — | 1% |
| Cincinnati | 2% | +6567 | — | 1% |
| Seattle | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Colorado | 1% | +9900 | — | — |
| Orlando | 1% | +9900 | — | <1% |
| Atlanta | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Austin | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| DC | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Kansas City | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Los Angeles G | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Minnesota | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Montréal | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| New York RB | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| New York City | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Portland | <1% | +19900 | — | 1% |
| Salt Lake | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| San Diego | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Toronto | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Atlanta is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in MLS Cup Champion?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Nashville at 31%, about +228 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 27%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 25, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on MLS Cup Champion?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.