India Annual Inflation 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 4.50%+ a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50%+ | 97% | -2841 | ▲ 1 |
| 3.00% to 3.74% | 3% | +3348 | — |
| 3.75% to 4.49% | 1% | +8596 | — |
| <0.75% | <1% | +11665 | — |
| 2.25% to 2.99% | <1% | +39900 | — |
| 0.75% to 1.49% | <1% | +66567 | — |
| 1.50% to 2.24% | <1% | +66567 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in India Annual Inflation 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 4.50%+ at 97%, about -2841 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 13, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on India Annual Inflation 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.