How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October Odds
This market has resolved: 5.29%. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.29% ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 11 |
| 5.32% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.35% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.38% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.41% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.45% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.50% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.55% | 0% | — | — |
| 5.60% | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
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