F1: Action of the Year Odds
Polymarket traders give Max Verstappen a 74% chance (Kalshi: 73%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 74% | -281 | — | 73% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 14% | +590 | — | 15% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 6% | +1553 | ▲ 1 | 6% |
| Charles Leclerc | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 0 | 3% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | +8596 | — | 1% |
| Liam Lawson | 1% | +9424 | — | 1% |
| Oscar Piastri | 1% | +9424 | — | 3% |
| Esteban Ocon | <1% | +11665 | — | 1% |
| Franco Colapinto | <1% | +12400 | — | 1% |
| Lando Norris | <1% | +15285 | — | 3% |
| Oliver Bearman | <1% | +16567 | — | 2% |
| Isack Hadjar | <1% | +16567 | — | 2% |
| Carlos Sainz | <1% | +22122 | — | <1% |
| Lance Stroll | <1% | +22122 | — | 1% |
| Alexander Albon | <1% | +28471 | — | 1% |
| Fernando Alonso | <1% | +39900 | — | 2% |
| Valtteri Bottas | <1% | +39900 | — | 1% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | <1% | +39900 | — | 1% |
| Sergio Perez | <1% | +39900 | — | 1% |
| George Russell | <1% | +39900 | — | 2% |
| Arvid Lindblad | <1% | +49900 | — | 2% |
| Pierre Gasly | <1% | +66567 | — | 1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in F1: Action of the Year?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Max Verstappen at 74%, about -281 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 73%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on F1: Action of the Year?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.