AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

F1 Action of the Year Award Winner Odds · 2026

Kalshi traders give Max Verstappen a 73% chance (Polymarket: 74%).

Kalshi Volume $8.0K 24h $37 Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Polymarket
Max Verstappen
73% -270 ▲ 8 74%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
15% +567 ▼ 5 14%
Lewis Hamilton
6% +1567 — 6%
Lando Norris
3% +3233 ▲ 2 <1%
Oscar Piastri
3% +3233 — 1%
Charles Leclerc
3% +3233 — 3%
Fernando Alonso
2% +4900 — <1%
Isack Hadjar
2% +4900 — <1%
George Russell
2% +4900 — <1%
Oliver Bearman
2% +4900 — <1%
Arvid Lindblad
2% +4900 — <1%
Tie/Co-Winners
2% +4900 — —
Nico Hulkenberg
1% +9900 — <1%
Esteban Ocon
1% +9900 — <1%
Liam Lawson
1% +9900 — 1%
Franco Colapinto
1% +9900 — <1%
Lance Stroll
1% +9900 — <1%
Alexander Albon
1% +9900 — <1%
Valtteri Bottas
1% +9900 — <1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1% +9900 — 1%
Pierre Gasly
1% +9900 — <1%
Sergio Perez
1% +9900 — <1%
Carlos Sainz
<1% +19900 — <1%

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 8
Max VerstappenAndrea Kimi AntonelliLewis HamiltonLando Norris

On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

F1: Action of the Year
Max Verstappen74% —
Kimi Antonelli14% ▼ 0
Lewis Hamilton6% ▲ 1
Charles Leclerc3% ▼ 0
Polymarket $33 24h · $203K vol

Resolution rules

If Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in F1 Action of the Year Award Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Max Verstappen at 73%, about -270 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 74%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on F1 Action of the Year Award Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.