China Nominal GDP in 2026 Odds · China 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $19.2 trillion | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above $19.4 trillion | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Above $19.6 trillion | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above $19.8 trillion | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above $20.0 trillion | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above $20.2 trillion | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above $20.4 trillion | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above $20.6 trillion | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above $20.8 trillion | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above $21.0 trillion | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above $21.2 trillion | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Above $21.4 trillion | 93% | -1329 | — |
| Above $21.6 trillion | 78% | -355 | — |
| Above $21.8 trillion | 53% | -113 | — |
| Above $22.0 trillion | 23% | +335 | — |
| Above $22.2 trillion | 10% | +953 | — |
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Price history
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Resolution rules
If China Nominal GDP is above $19.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on China Nominal GDP in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.