Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 Odds · in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 780 thousand | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 790 thousand | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 800 thousand | 91% | -953 | — |
| Above 810 thousand | 89% | -809 | — |
| Above 820 thousand | 79% | -376 | — |
| Above 830 thousand | 28% | +264 | — |
| Above 840 thousand | 16% | +525 | — |
| Above 850 thousand | 15% | +567 | ▲ 60 |
| Above 860 thousand | 12% | +733 | — |
| Above 870 thousand | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Above 880 thousand | 9% | +1076 | — |
| Above 890 thousand | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Above 900 thousand | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Above 910 thousand | 7% | +1438 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Carvana Co. reports Above 780000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 31, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?
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