Canada Annual Inflation 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 3.0-3.4% a 41% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.4% | 41% | +142 | ▲ 1 |
| 2.5–2.9% | 17% | +506 | ▲ 1 |
| 3.5-3.9% | 14% | +590 | ▼ 1 |
| 4.0%+ | 9% | +981 | ▼ 2 |
| 2.0–2.4% | 8% | +1090 | ▲ 1 |
| 1.0–1.4% | 1% | +6797 | — |
| <1.0% | <1% | +18082 | — |
| 1.5–1.9% | <1% | +22122 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release, which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Canada Annual Inflation 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 3.0-3.4% at 41%, about +142 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 19, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Canada Annual Inflation 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.