Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 88% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | +700 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 88% | -700 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by..."?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 88%, about -700 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.